Down syndrome is the
most common form of inherited intellectual disability. In addition, it
is associated with growth deficiency, hypotonia, characteristic
craniofacial appearance and developmental anomalies involving the heart
and other organ systems. Survival of these patients has changed
dramatically over the last several decades primarily because of surgical
intervention for cardiac defects. For example, life expectancy
increased from 12 years in
England in 1949 to
recent estimates of over 50 years in western countries. These estimates
are based on cross-sectional data because there is little longitudinal
information available. Moreover, it is known that adults with Down
syndrome are predisposed to a number of disorders including obesity,
hypothyroidism, epilepsy, dementia, and Alzheimer’s disease; however the
impact of these disorders on survival is unknown.
To define the
survival profile for those with Down syndrome, Glasson and colleagues
assessed survival in 1,332 patients (45% female) born between 1902 and
2000, mostly in Australia. Most patients had had standardized
intelligence testing. Death had occurred in 20%. Kaplan-Meier survival
probabilities were calculated separately for sex, level of intellectual
disability and decade of birth.
The analysis showed
that the overall life expectancy for patients with Down syndrome
approaches that of the general population in
Australia.
Seventy-five percent of cases had survived to 50.0 years, 50% to 58.6
years and 25% to 62.9 years of age. The mean life expectancy for males
was greater than females by 3.3 years with the median survival
probabilities of 61.1 for males and 57.8 for females. The difference
was attributed to a higher incidence of heart defects in females. When
examined by decade born, each successive birth group showed increased
survival consistent with progressive improvement in medical care. No
association was found between level of intellectual disability and
survival, which was surprising to the authors because an association had
apparently been found in an earlier study.
Approximately 25% of
all Down syndrome deaths occurred between the ages of 58 and 63 years.
No clear explanation for this was found nor is there any certainty that
the trend will continue in patients born more recently. The authors
raise the possibility that it could reflect mortality associated with
the above mentioned chronic diseases to which adults with Down syndrome
are predisposed.
Glasson EJ et al.
Clin Genet 2002;62:390-393.
Editor’s Comment:
The information contained in this paper should be very useful to
physicians, genetic counselors and others who deal with families
concerned about long term survival in Down syndrome.
William Horton, MD
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